Eleven months ago, Rothenberg notes, "Sen Jim Bunning (R-KY) was in trouble" as were other Republicans.
The national landscape has changed considerably since then, leaving more and more Democratic incumbents vulnerable.
Rothernberg gives Republicans a narrow lead in Kentucky:
Other races, where there hasn't been such movement, remain tight, with the race a statistical dead heat (in Missouri, for example), or with the Republican nominee holding a narrow advantage in most polling (including Kentucky, North Carolina, Illinois and Louisiana).
Republicans have an opportunity to pick up seats-- and maybe control of the Senate.
Senate Democratic Leader Harry Reid may not have to worry about losing more bodies in his caucus, because Reid may not even get reelected. Reid is polling around 41 percent against his most likely GOP opponent.
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