Andy Barr Will Win

Andy Barr is getting national attention; RedState and Fox News's Dana Perino predict he will unseat Ben Candler, who Eric Erickson described as one of the last "Blue Dog phonies."

Given that Kentucky's polls are among the first in the nation to close, this race will be heralded as a bellwether to measure the length of Romney's coat tails.

Barr will win despite the attempts to gerrymander the district to ensconce Chandler. And the key issue -- coal -- will similarly propel Romney to victories in Pennsylvania and Ohio.